There is an earlier post by me on the subject of land at AATW.
The price of land has become a problem in the western world. The difficulty young people face in obtaining a home is having an adverse impact on maturity and family, both of which are important parts of a healthy, functioning society.
A number of factors are contributing to this problem. One of them is the attraction of land as an investment, which has led to high rents and high resale prices and foreign money (not all of it licit, see analysis of money laundering in global property markets) entering the national market.
Historically, the treatment of land as an investment has always been a problem. Humans naturally want to make a profit (and as much profit as possible), so this factor by itself cannot fully explain the current crisis. We must look elsewhere to understand what is allowing the market to create such high values for rent and sale prices.
Another factor is the role of planning (in the UK) and zoning (in the USA) and the equivalent policies and practices in other countries. This constitutes an artificial interference in property markets. Where land has planning permission permitting the construction of a housing estate or commercial property, the land owner can charge the developer a lot more than land that is restricted to, say, farming purposes.
These restrictions are not the natural result of the land’s nature but of the purposes and ideas of man about what is suitable in a given area. Furthermore, in order to obtain permission, at least in the UK, it is possible for the local council to accept a covenant on the part of the developer to pay money towards building infrastructure, which will have an impact on prices and profit margins.
The costs of development, including legal costs and costs associated with planning permission, are a further factor in the housing crisis. Certainly in the UK construction industry, profit margins are narrow. Where it is difficult to carry on work in a given sector, and difficult for new competitors to enter a sector, it is likely that there will be supply problems.
This leads naturally to a consideration of supply versus demand. Demand continues to grow apace in general terms, (though see research about specific variables: class, nationality, ethnicity, and gender). Supply appears not to be keeping up with this demand.
The problem is further exacerbated by the flocking of people to particular conurbations, because that is where the work is. This market factor creates a vicious cycle, which can only be broken if we can make more of an effort to implement working from home. This will counteract the need to live near where one works.
Wages have not kept pace with living costs. People from different political ideologies are right to point this out, even if they are wrong in their prescriptions for the cure of this problem. Our broader economic malaise, in combination with out social problems, works in a vicious cycle here.
Mortgages are the last factor I wish to consider (though no doubt there are others that you, dear reader, might suggest in the comments below). Where loans (and large ones at that) are (relatively) easily available, landowners will charge a higher price for their land. Those who buy the land will charge a high rent in order to pay off the high price and make a profit on top.
I leave it to you, dear reader, to share your thoughts on these problems, including a package of reforms that might help us address the crisis. God speed.
I cannot comment on anything other than the state of the economy in the US in which I was raised. If at all similar to the UK, it is apparent that everything has suffered from the erosion of buying power of a particular unit of monetary due primarily to the most unfair tax of all; inflation. When I was younger the minimum wage was approximately $1/hr., a gallon of gas was 15 cents, a loaf of bread was about 15 cents, a car sold for less than $1000, and a house was about $8000. And let’s not forget that the DOW was running at around $600 in those days as well. So everything (almost, although inconsistently) has risen some 30 to 50 times its cost a mere 60 years ago.
But along with this is the societal impact of women in the work force . . . and their purchasing of goods which drove the wages of men down and increased the buying power of the average family substantially; more people buying more cars, houses, appliances, eating out more etc. It is this new economy in which everyone expects to be a landowner or homeowner these days. When I was younger far fewer even dreamt of owning their own homes . . . almost everybody that was middle-class was a renter.
But a house today is about the same as it always was: about the same cost as the income of the yearly wages of a typical middle-class family. Maybe that’s not the case in the UK, I don’t know.
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I’m glad you mentioned inflation – that is one my hobbyhorses, as is the breakdown of the family. If we cannot fix these issues, we are in for a meltdown.
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Yes that and the fact that children are now seen as a liability financially and that they MUST have a college degree (even if it is in women’s studies or gender studies) which is complete nonsense. Then there was the rise of the contraception industry to make it easier to ‘regulate’ your family and also the rise of credit cards. Credit was almost never given to people when I was younger and only the very rich had it or health insurance for that matter. Young people today go to college and find out that they are seriously in debt from that point forward and probably will never fully recuperate from it. They don’t get married, or have children if they do. They all buy houses and cars and everything else on credit and the country runs on tomorrow’s earnings. It is a pretend world; a virtual economy.
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Indeed, as a follower of the Austrian school of economics (and I think you can also make their case as a Christian on the basis of the Torah) I believe growth must be funded by savings, not debt. I also believe that should be applied to the banking sector itself. I believe in the separation between deposit and investment banking and I am an opponent of the creation of money. Banks should not be able to create money out of nothing. If they want to invest they should take the same risk as Joe Schmo who uses his own savings to fund his investment schemes.
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Indeed so. I am of the Austrian school of economics myself. Actually we have lived with this nonsense (like keynesian economics) for too long. The debt out there if truly valued would eclipse the manpower earnings of all human beings from the beginning of time through ages that are far in the future. It is all lies and we live with more ‘stuff’ than ever before because we ‘feel’ like we can afford it . . . though it is all smoke and mirrors.
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Indeed – and I think the whole system will have to be reset at the beginning of the millennial reign of Christ.
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And that shibboleth that all must go to college also impacts the housing market – in the lack of tradesmen coming up. I’m sure Nicholas has stories of Polish tradesmen, even as I do of Hispanic ones, both of which, while fine in limited quantity, have reduced the rewards to native aspirants.
We could not that the USD has lost about 95% of its value since the establishment of the Federal Reserve, but if we consider currency a means of keeping score, as we should…When I was young I paid about 22 cents a gallon for gas, and the calculator says I pay roughly the equivalent today. That seems reasonable, since the economy is at roughly the same level as well, although much larger.
Interestingly, in 1900 a custom Brooks Brothers suit (one of the few products which has changed little) cost roughly 1 ounce of gold, it still does. But the numbers on the fiat currency have certainly gotten bigger.
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Indeed – the free movement of people is where part company with many libertarians and liberals. As a believer in the nation state, I see nothing wrong in protecting the inheritance of the native population.
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Nor do I, and I note a lot of American libertarians have modified their position on free movement, not completely abandoning it, but admitting restrictions may be in order.
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Large scale immigration is a destabilising force. With the best will in the world, it cannot help but cause problems.
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Indeed so. And for some, I think that may well be a feature, not a bug.
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I’m convinced that there is demonic and human manipulation here intended to undermine Christianity and the West – but God can also work through this process for His purposes.
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He does tend to work in mysterious ways!
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