Whether it is the reading of too many political novels, or the watching of too many episodes of ‘Yes. Minister’ or ‘House of Cards’ by too many politicians and commentators, or whether for other reasons, modern British politics has had about it for too long the air of a television production. What matters is image, charisma and the ability to charm the populace; capability, even talent, are secondary. Tony Blair looked and sounded like he was playing the part of Prime Minister in a TV drama, and the same was true of David Cameron; how else to explain the otherwise inexplicable rise of Boris Johnson, a man of no discernible political achievements, but a winning way in front of the cameras? And now, all of a sudden, it begins to fall away.
It ends in a suitably ‘House of Cards’ way, as is only appropriate – the machine swallows its own. Michael Gove, cast for the part of policy-wonk adviser, fancies himself for the big job and knifes Johnson in the front and the back simultaneously (aren’t special effects wonderful); but having done so, finds, as Macbeth did, that no one trusts him. He won’t make the final cut, and his career is over, and what’s worse for him, so is his carefully-cultivated reputation as a good chap; the toxic twins of Brexit have indulged in mutually assured destruction. From the Right wing we get Iain Duncan-Smith in a dress, in the form of Andrea Leadsom, a type familiar to anyone who has ever had anything to do with local Tory associations. Around her gather the hopes of those whose politics begins and ends in Europe; she is a creature of hype, perhaps its last gasp before sense descends and the tawdry meretriciousness of modern politics implodes under the weight of its own inadequacies.
Its nemesis comes in two unlikely forms. On the one hand, Theresa May, a woman so uncharismatic that she would not even be cast in a TV drama about herself. Launching her campaign she did something few politicians have done for a long time – she talked about public service – as befitted a vicar’s daughter. She is not in it for herself – if she were, she wouldn’t have stayed at that graveyard of reputations, the Home Office, for so long; and if she were not a consummate political operator who could do detail, she would not have been able to have survived it so long. This is the woman who had the guts to tell the Tory party that it had become known as the ‘nasty party’; they did not like it, some still don’t, but it took courage, as it did to tell the Police Federation to clean up its act. Of all the contenders for the Premiership (which is what becoming leader of the Tory party in these circumstances will mean), Mrs May is the one Angela Merkel and co. will dislike having to deal with most. There will no histrionics, no playing to the cameras; instead, there will be a mastery of the brief and a negotiating style borrowed from the best poker players.
The other unlikely form is already with us in the shape of Jeremy Corbyn. He is the antithesis of Blair and the media politician too. In his case his inadequacies have been exposed, he has been judged and found wanting, but he won’t go. He knows the party’s new supporters support him. His hard-left advisers tell him he has a democratic mandate, and all his life he has responded to the siren call of the idealistic Left; where it will leave Labour remains to be seen. The rules say it is going nowhere, its new leftist supporter have to show how they can defy the rules; it will be interesting – as long as you are not on the left, in which case it will be agonising.
This is the chance for the Tory party to get the great matricide of 1990 out of its system – the defenestration of Mrs Thatcher has left a long and poisonous legacy. It may be that, as with the blood-letting at the end of Hamlet, the mutually assured destruction of Cameron, Osborne, Johnson and Gove is what it will take to remind our politicians that they serve the public, and that they are not its masters. Mrs May gets that, as, in his own way, does Mr Corbyn. Let the TV dramatists do their thing, and let our politicians get back to the serious business of trying to run the country.
Nicholas said:
This debacle has left a lot of damage in its wake. There is an increasing feeling that “the system is broken.” Increasingly I find myself thinking, “This is the end.”
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NEO said:
It did damage, to be sure, but there is a lot of ruin in a nation, as Adam Smith said. I see it more as a reboot, and i too think Theresa May, is a really good fit, now. It’s a time for calm, and hard bargaining, and the cold boring detail.
Time to rebuild, the country, and the parties, I think we’ll see some major differences as we go along.
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Nicholas said:
I’m not a fan of the party system, though. I think it’s immoral to have whips forcing MPs to vote in particular ways.
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chalcedon451 said:
On the other hand, we need some order, and MPs do have a tendency to behave like frightened kittens. I think May will win, possibly without there being a contest, and with a proper grown-up in charge, we can get on with the urgent business of understanding what Brexit might mean.
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NEO said:
I’m not really, either, but it’s always been that way, and I doubt it’ll change. It’s not entirely bad, if it matter and it does make it such, if it matters to yu that much, you can violate it, if you believe it important enough, knowing there will be a cost.
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thoughtfullydetached said:
In the current climate the only prediction I feel safe in making is that many predictions, including perhaps this one, are likely to look foolish sooner rather than later.
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chalcedon451 said:
I daresay – we shall see soon enough. If the Tories go for Leadsom, I’m out for the foreseeable future.
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Nicholas said:
It’s sad to see Jess absent during this time of upheaval. I hope that she is coping.
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chalcedon451 said:
She’s off in Germany looking for a job there – like many young people, she feels as though this result is not a good one for her.
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Jock McSporran said:
Chalcedon – may I add my two-pence worth to this political discussion?
Firstly, what is your assessment of it with respect to the Christian faith? How to Christian principles guide the discussion? Is ‘Remain’ or ‘Leave’ more in tune with Christian thinking? How about the candidates for the Conservative party leadership? Are any of them professing Christians? If so, how do they reconcile this with campaigning on Sunday? Because I’d be surprised if they pass up the opportunity to appear on Sunday TV and radio programmes explaining why they are the best candidate.
I’m strongly anti-EU, because of what it did to the fishing communities, which were Christian communities, and for this reason I well understand Michael Gove. I see one street which was filled with fish merchant businesses, including my uncle’s, now completely deserted. Although there are some major harbours for landing white fish, this doesn’t take into account all the small villages and towns which had functioning harbours and solid Christian communities – now more or less evaporated and gone.
I remember some of the most exciting early childhood memories (when I was 5 or 6) watching my uncle bidding for boxes of fish at the auction at the fish market. I also remember my great uncle who was a Norweg-o-phile. He had landed many catches in Bergen, had Norwegian ornaments all over his house, he always got his boat fixed in Norway and the boat was Norwegian, because in his opinion Norwegian boat builders were infinitely superior to the Scottish boat builders. I remember one political comment I made when I was about 5 or 6, the day after we visited them, ‘why do we share a government with the English, when we have so much more in common with the Norwegians. They’re fisher people, like us.’ This was met with a derisory laugh, I’d understand this better when I grew up.
I remember my cousin (together with a group of fishermen) writing a detailed paper of how entry to the Common Market would affect our fishing. He pointed out that the government had successfully demarcated our waters as British for the purposes of oil, so they could have done the same for fishing if they had wanted to. It therefore isn’t the fault of the continentals; they were simply out for as much as they could get. The problem was that our lads (Heath and Wilson) simply couldn’t care less about the fishing and were prepared to give it away, presumably for something in return.
This something in return was probably all right for those who were not from the fishing communities, but it’s extremely arrogant and high handed for the government to give away the livelihood of whole communities.
These fishing communities were, in general, deeply Christian, their trawlers generally had Christian names. So the EU has been responsible for the destruction of Christian communities.
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chalcedon451 said:
Three of the candidates seem prepared to admit they are Christians – Crabb, May and Leadsom.
On the sabbatarianism, none of the mainline Churches in the UK preach it, so I can’t see why any of the Christian candidates belonging to such churches would think it relevant; the number of people to whom it is relevant are not statistically significant – and in politics numbers are the prime currency.
I doubt that our faith has much to say about ‘remain’ or ‘leave’; it has a great deal to say about how we should treat each other, and there are those on both sides of this question who would benefit from rereading Christ’s words.
Many communities have been destroyed in the last forty years, and this is to be deplored – but it appears to be part of the march of global capitalism – which seems to me to be very far distant from the Gospel message.
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Jock McSporran said:
‘ in politics numbers are the prime currency’ – so in other words these people put up the people-pleasing appearance of Christianity to get the votes , which is very different from the real thing. Christianity *is* statistically insignificant, and always has been.
In the case of the fishing communities, it wasn’t capitalism that killed them off; our lads were as good as, if not better than, anybody. It was purely and simply government / EU policy to limit what our fishermen could catch and where they could land it (and give the rights to our waters to others). This is what destroyed whole communities and a whole way of life.
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chalcedon451 said:
No, I don’t think so – I doubt very many people will vote for them because they are Christians, and Crabb has already come in for a lot of criticism from the gay lobby because of his hostility to gay marriage.
On communities, yes, I agree, and one could make the same argument about the docks and coal and steel industries.
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Jock McSporran said:
….. it depends on the audience. I agree with Crabb on this point, but so do many ex-Tories, who dropped membership of the Tory party in disgust at Cameron’s stance on the issue. I think this will turn out to be a strong point for him among the ‘grass roots’ (provided, of course, he can get into the last two). He loses some support among the membership of the Tory party, but gains an awful lot more because he takes a strong line on this issue.
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chalcedon451 said:
It was on that issue I resigned from membership.
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Alfred E. Neuman said:
Reblogged this on ETC., ETC., & ETC..
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Jock McSporran said:
Chalcedon – I don’t see why you’re so keen on Theresa May. She was on the ‘Remain’ side – but didn’t say very much at all in favour of it. Now she says ‘Brexit means Brexit’
She didn’t oppose Cameron over the gay marriage issue.
Even though I’m anti-EU (purely as a result of what happened to our fishing industry), I’d much prefer somebody of conviction, who articulates that conviction, rather than a fence-sitter as Prime Minister.
If (for example) Carl Bildt were British, a member of the British Tory party and standing for leadership, I’d prefer him over May any day, even though he is a rampant Euro-phile. I was very impressed with him while he was the Swedish foreign minister. He was unpopular as Prime Minister in the early 90’s precisely because he took the necessary and unpopular decisions.
On the other hand, given that ‘Leave’ won, it does seem to me that it would be wrong not to have a committed ‘Leaver’ as Prime Minister.
I see nothing at all to recommend May – she is where she is precisely because she kept absolutely silent over important issues.
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chalcedon451 said:
What matters now is we have someone who can do the the job. The question is ‘who would Mrs Merkel least like to see on the other side of the table?’ That would be my reason for preferring Mrs May. Gove is a bad joke, Leadsom is IDS in a dress and a wig, and the times demand someone who can actually run something.
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Jock McSporran said:
This sounds great! It reminds me of the time back in the 1980’s when Private Eye (the Dear Bill letters) summarised the opposition to Thatcher as ‘Worzel, Woy and Boy David’.
I think you’ll find that May isn’t the answer.
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chalcedon451 said:
She’s a better answer than the alternatives – we need someone who is a proper grown up politicians, not amateur hour with IDS in a dress and a wig 🙂
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